NFC NORTH
CHICAGO BEARS – 9.5 wins
Key Additions: S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, WR/KR Cordarrelle Patterson, CB Buster Skrine
Key Losses: RB Jordan Howard, CB Bryce Callahan, S Adrian Amos
Best Case Scenario: 12 wins, Div. Title, Divisional Round appearance, number one defensive unit, Trubisky has a Pro Bowl season
The Bears are able to build off of a fantastic 2018 campaign by remaining among the NFL’s elite defenses, led by former Defensive Player of the Year Khalil Mack. Mitchell Trubisky continues to make strides as a passer, proving that he was worth the second selection of the 2017 draft. Head coach Matt Nagy continues his success as an offensive guru, providing creative ways for that side of the ball to thrive, sneaking in the top 10 among the NFL’s offense. Tarik Cohen becomes the new version of Darren Sproles from his New Orleans days, providing a spark in all facets, leading to a Pro Bowl nod. Roquan Smith significantly progresses in his second year as the team’s middle linebacker, flying all over the field to make plays in shades of recent Hall of Fame inductee Brian Urlacher. Remaining among the league’s best in terms of creating turnovers, the Bears bring home their second consecutive division title.
Worst Case Scenario: 6 wins, running game nonexistent, struggle to create turnovers similar to 2018, Trubisky takes a step back
The team fails to live up to the previous year’s success, due to one of the toughest collection of opponents. Trubisky cannot find consistency and the offense has difficulties putting points on the board. The team ends up regretting moving Jordan Howard, one of their most reliable chain movers the last few seasons, and struggles to replace his impact with the committee approaches with Mike Davis and Tarik Cohen. The biggest loss, however, proves to be defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, as the unit as a whole does not produce up to expectations. Soldier Field’s finest proves finishes below .500 for the fifth time in six years, looking to free agency to improve their depleted offense.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS – 9.0 wins
Key Additions: G Josh Kline
Key Losses: RB Latavius Murray, DT Sheldon Richardson, S George Iloka
Best Case Scenario: 11 wins, Div. Title, Divisional Round appearance, Cousins rebounds, Cook thrives in three down role
The Vikings return as contenders in the NFC with one of the more well-balanced rosters in the league. Kirk Cousins looks much more comfortable in Kevin Stefanski’s system, providing an even attack with an elite set of playmakers. Dalvin Cook has his best year now as an every down back, finishing among the leading rushers, while receivers Stefon Diggs and newly extended Adam Thielen remain the NFL’s top wide receiver duo. The offensive line finds a way to improve the protection of their signal caller, allowing their limited quarterback to make plays when he needs to. The defense has a bounce back year of sorts, led by Everson Griffin and re-signee Anthony Barr. Multi-time Pro Bowler Harrison Smith steps up in a leadership role, pushing the defensive backfield to return as a formidable unit. SKOL edges Rodgers and the Packers to reclaim the division crown and becoming one of the toughest outs in the playoffs
Worst Case Scenario: 6 wins, Cousins remains inconsistent, defense underwhelms
GREEN BAY PACKERS – 9.5 wins
Key Additions: S Adrian Amos, Edge Preston Smith, Edge Za’Darius Smith, G Billy Turner
Key Losses: WR Randall Cobb, DE Muhammad Wilkerson, LB Clay Matthews, LB Jake Ryan, Bashaud Breeland
Best Case Scenario: 12 wins, Div. Title, NFC championship appearance, Rodgers MVP
Worst Case Scenario: 8 wins, Rodgers struggles with injuries, FA additions struggle, offense has difficulties moving the ball
DETROIT LIONS – 7.0 wins
Key Additions: RB C.J. Anderson, WR Danny Amendola, CB Justin Coleman, DE Trey Flowers, TE Jesse James
Key Losses: WR Bruce Ellington, G T.J Lang, DE Ezekiel Ansah, DE Kerry Hyder, Nevin Lawson
Best Case Scenario: 9 wins, HC Matt Patricia makes strides, Stafford returns to being a comeback kid
Worst Case Scenario: 4 wins, Stafford regresses, Patricia fired
NFC SOUTH
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 10.5 wins
Key Additions: DT Malcom Brown, TE Jared Cook, C Nick Easton, DE Mario Edwards, RB Latavius Murray
Key Losses: RB Mark Ingram, DE Alex Okafor, Manti Te’o, C Max Unger
Best Case Scenario: 13 wins, Div. Title, Super Bowl champions
Worst Case Scenario: 8 wins, Brees regresses/retires, Payton leaves
ATLANTA FALCONS – 9.0 wins
Key Additions: G Jamon Brown, G James Carpenter
Key Losses: RB Tevin Coleman, G Andy Levitre, DE Bruce Irvin, CB Justin Bethel
Best Case Scenario: 12 wins, Div. Title, Divisional Round appearance
Worst Case Scenario: 7 wins, Ryan collapses down the stretch, team looks thin/deals with injuries
CAROLINA PANTHERS – 8.0 wins
Key Additions: Bruce Irvin, C Matt Paradis, WR Chris Hogan
Key Losses: WR Devin Funchess, LB Thomas Davis, CB Captain Munnerlyn, S Mike Adams
Best Case Scenario: 10 wins, Wild Card appearance, Cam improves as a passer
Worst Case Scenario: 5 wins, Cam fails to protect himself, Rivera fired
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS – 6.5 wins
Key Additions: LB Shaquil Barrett, LB Deone Bucannon, Breshad Perriman
Key Losses: WR Adam Humphries, LB Kwon Alexander, CB Brent Grimes, S Chris Conte
Best Case Scenario: 9 wins, wild card appearance, Arians rejuvenates Winston
Worst Case Scenario: 4 wins, Winston loses job, defense remains among the worst
NFC EAST
DALLAS COWBOYS – 8.5 wins
Key Additions: WR Randall Cobb, S George Iloka, DE Robert Quinn, DE Kerry Hyder, TE Jason Witten
Key Losses: WR Cole Beasley, WR Terrance Williams, TE Geoff Swaim, DT David Irving, LB Damien Wilson
Best Case Scenario: 12 wins, Div. Title, Super Bowl appearance, Zeke MVP
Worst Case Scenario: 6 wins, Dak does not improve as a passer, team struggles with injuries
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES – 9.5 wins
Key Additions: RB Jordan Howard, WR DeSean Jackson, DT Malik Jackson, S Andrew Sendejo
Key Losses: QB Nick Foles, RB Jay Ajayi, WR Golden Tate, DT Haloti Ngata, LB Jordan Hicks
Best Case Scenario: 13 wins, Div. Title, Super Bowl appearance, Wentz stays healthy
Worst Case Scenario: 6 wins, Wentz gets hurt again, secondary fails to improve
WASHINGTON REDSKINS – 6.0 wins
Key Additions: S Landon Collins, CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie
Key Losses: WR Jamison Crowder, LB Preston Smith, LB Pernell McPhee, S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
Best Case Scenario: 7 wins, Top five rushing attack, defense finishes in the top 10
Worst Case Scenario: 4 wins, bottom three offense, defense fails to create turnovers, Gruden fired
NEW YORK GIANTS – 6.0 wins
Key Additions: S Antoine Bethea, S Jabrill Peppers, G Kevin Zeitler, WR Golden Tate
Key Losses: WR Odell Beckham Jr., Olivier Vernon, DE Mario Edwards, CB B.W. Webb, S Landon Collins
Best Case Scenario: 8 wins, Saquon goes for 1,000/1,000
Worst Case Scenario: 5 wins, Eli loses job/new QB fails to show promise, Shumur fired
NFC WEST
LOS ANGELES RAMS – 10.5 wins
Key Additions: QB Blake Bortles, Edge Clay Matthews, S Eric Weddle
Key Losses: RB C.J. Anderson, G Rodger Saffold, DT Ndamukong Suh, LB Mark Barron, S Lamarcus Joyner
Best Case Scenario: 13 wins, Div. Title, Super Bowl appearance, Gurley returns to form, top ranked offense
Worst Case Scenario: 8 wins, offense regresses, Gurley fails to stay healthy, Goff takes a step back
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – 8.5 wins
Key Additions: G Mike Iupati, K Jason Myers
Key Losses: S Earl Thomas, G J.R. Sweezy
Best Case Scenario: 10 wins, Div. Title, Divisional Round appearance, running game finishes near the top
Worst Case Scenario: 7 wins, Wilson does not extend/becomes FA, Carroll retires
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS – 8.0 wins
Key Additions: LB Kwon Alexander, RB Tevin Coleman, Edge Dee Ford, CB Jason Verrett
Key Losses: RB Alfred Morris
Best Case Scenario: 9 wins, Jimmy G finishes full season, pass rush dramatically improves
Worst Case Scenario: 5 wins, Jimmy G struggles to live up to the hype, FA acquisitions fail to make impact
ARIZONA CARDINALS – 5.5 wins
Key Additions: CB Tramaine Brock, T Marcus Gilbert, LB Jordan Hicks, LB Terrell Suggs, J.R. Sweezy
Key Losses: G Mike Iupati, Benson Mayowa, LB Deone Bucannon, S Tre Boston
Best Case Scenario: 7 wins, Johnson returns to elite form, Murray/Rosen show promise
Worst Case Scenario: 3 wins, Kingsbury’s system is a disaster, quarterback prospect struggles, loses Peterson
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001018612/article/2019-nfl-free-agents-by-team
https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-over-under-win-totals
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