QB
| R. Wilson | vs DAL | $7,300 |
9 Pass TDs to 11 incompletions thus far. Dallas could be without their top three cornerbacks on the road. Enough said.
| D. Prescott | SEA | $7,200 |
Prescott has continued to show value padding stats while playing from behind. If you just take his numbers in the second half of last week, he ranked as QB2 with 300+ pass yards and four total TDs (3 rushing). I see Dallas playing from behind once again this week, which could ultimately lead to a similar opportunity.
| J. Allen | LAR | $6,900 |
The NFL’s passing yards leader is also the QB1 in DK FPTS through two weeks. LAR is allowing the 2nd lowest passer rating in the league (73.6). Due to his abilities as a runner, he can still have a solid game. There is just too many good QBs with better matchups around this price range.
| K. Murray | DET | $6,800 |
Kyler is in a great spot this week. Has averaged 30.2 DK FPTS against two of the league’s best front sevens. Now against a defense with only two sacks thus far, and without their two best corners, he should be able exceed 25 points before you even consider what he will do on the ground.
| C. Newton | LV | $6,700 |
You may not see the passing you saw last week against SEA, but his abilities as a runner in the red zone cannot be ignored. LV has allowed touchdowns on 71.43% of red zone drives. Best option at QB in early only contests.
| B. Roethlisberger | HOU | $6,400 |
HOU has allowed the second best passer rating in the NFL through two games. In a good spot to produce, a similar game like last week (22.24 DK PTS). Think you are better off spending a couple of hundred more for one of the Big 4 this week (Dak, Russell, Kyler, or Cam), but one of the better alternatives.
| M. Stafford | ARI | $6,300 |
I expect a big game by Stafford this weekend. With Golladay back, he now has a full set of weapons at his disposal. He will be an overlooked player and likely low-owned, but will have to put up big numbers to avoid an 0-3 start.
*Advice: Spend up at QB. Too many good matchups to not capitalize on. No one below $6300 has a chance of matching the numbers of the top tier of QBs.*
RB
| D. Henry | MIN | $7,800 |
Solid RB play. Min ranks 28th against the run. Easier to fit in a lineup in FD.
| Dalvin Cook | TEN | $7,600 |
He has not had a strong start to the year, largely due to playing from behind, but has salvaged with three rushing touchdowns. With the Vikings attempting to avoid an 0-3 start, I expect an uptick in touches this week against a defense that allowed 35.7 points to RBs against Jacksonville last week.
| A. Ekeler | CAR | $6,800 |
LAC has led the league in rush att. (83) through two weeks. Even with running mate Joshua Kelley garnering 37 touches, Ekeler has still gotten 40 touches himself, averaging 5.9 yds per touch and 117.5 scrimmage ypg. Carolina has allowed 46.9 ppg (PPR/DK) to RBs, including a league-high six rushing TDs. Ekeler and Kelley should be highly considered for a game that could have the Chargers playing from ahead early on.
| J. Connor | HOU | $6,700 |
Conner had a solid game upon his return from an ankle injury; Snell’s productive opener did not eat into his touches much (18-4 in favor of Conner). Texans have allowed 198 ypg on the ground (31st) this year. The matchup is there to have a productive day, it is uncertain though if it will be as big of a one-sided split going forward.
| C. Carson | DAL | $6,600 |
Similar to Zeke, it seems as though it is more ideal to target the receivers in this game due to the inept pass defenses in this game. The difference, however, is Carson is at a much more affordable price ($200 difference between trio of Carson, Metcalf, Lockett). Carson has not been overly efficient as a runner (just 11.5 rush att per game/4.0ypc), but as a pass catcher, he leads the Seahawks will three rec TDs. Game script will surely affect the amount of touchdowns, but there is good reason to have confidence in him scoring 20 points.
| M. Sanders | CIN | $6,400 |
The Bengals gave up 53.1 points to the duo of Chubb and Hunt last week. Sanders in his debut immediately stepped into a bellcow role (23 touches for 131 all-purpose yards). Geno Atkins and Mike Daniels remain out for CIN, so I expect the interior to remain porous. Sanders should be a strong play. His salary won’t be under $7000 for too much longer.
| L. Fournette | DEN | $6,200 |
Fournette had a strong game last week with over 100 rush yds and 2 TDs. It appears that eventually Fournette will become a bellcow, but it appears that for now, it will be the ‘hot hand’ approach in regards to TB’s backfield. Outside of a 59 yard run by Conner, Denver has only allowed 168 yards on 49 rushes (3.43 ypc), so there is no guarantee it will be a field day. There is blowout potential in this game against a Denver team without Lock and Sutton, so there will be an opportunity for volume. I think there are better matchups to exploit.
| T. Gurley II | CHI | $5,800 |
Gurley has not been promising, but his workload has been promising (37 touches through two games). Redzone opportunities have not been there, but ATL has been able to exploit two poor secondaries in the first two weeks. CHI is not great against the run, and they will not win this game. I expect Gurley to have opportunities to score in this game. Very reasonable floor.
| Joshua Kelley | CAR | $5,000 |
LAC has fed Ekeler and Kelley both effeciently and equally. CAR has given up 3 RuTDs in each week. High chance LAC could get multiple as well. Very intriguing play.
| J. McKinnon | NYG | $4,900 |
McKinnon has averaged an absurd 13.4 yards per touch with a pair of scores in his return. 49ers will likely be without Mostert and Coleman this week, still no Samuel, and a banged up Kittle and Garoppolo. NYG allowed over 20 DK points to both Snell and Montgomery. Great opportunity for a guy under $5k.
| M. Davis | LAC | $5,100 |
Surprisingly had eight receptions last week. Becomes the next man up with McCaffrey out. Unless they bring another in, he will handle the bulk of the carries. Not sure about his matchup this week, though.
| Jeff Wilson Jr. | NYG | $4,000 |
Very intriguing punt play to consider as a RB. While McKinnon will be the lead back, I don’t expect him to carry a 20+ touch workload. It is not farfetched to believe Wilson can’t hit a 10-12 touch mark even if McKinnon has a productive game.
*Advice: There are some pretty cheap prices at RB after all the major injuries last week. I would capitalize on these low options and grab at least one below $5k to save up capital to spend elsewhere.*
WR
| D. Hopkins | DET | $7,900 |
Still produced a 20.8 outing against a relatively tough matchup. Lions were gashed by Packers without their top two corners. In Okudah’s debut, he allowed 7 catches for 121 yards on 10 targets without Adams being much of a threat. You will be hearing Hopkins’ name a lot this weekend even if Trufant can return to help.
| S. Diggs | LAR | $7,000 |
Diggs may not drop the 8-153-1 stat line this week, but I expect him to still have a solid game. The Rams starting CBs have allowed a 82% catch rate (21-25) early this season. Even if Ramsey shadows, I don’t expect him to completely lock Diggs up, although the possiblity for a TD decreases significantly. You can’t go wrong here, but I think you can spend down to fit others in.
| A. Thielen | TEN | $6,900 |
I believe Kirk Cousins can bounce back this week after his 3 INT performance last week. Bulter has been awful over the last two years and with Adoree Jackson now on IR, I think MIN will ride their best offensive players to their first win in 2020. If Thielen can grab one of the three TDs I expect MIN to score, he could very well have a output for you.
| C. Godwin | DEN | $6,700 |
Godwin>Evans. His return could provide a spark to Brady, as he was the most targeted and productive guy Week 1 (6-79 on seven targets). Could have a very good game in his return. Much better option in DK than FD. Can you fit him in?
| A. Cooper | SEA | $6,500 |
SEA has allowed 485 pass yds per game (Have allowed six receivers over 70 yards; four receivers over 100 yards). The top receiver for Dallas has had solid start to the year (16-181 on 23 targets), and even though he has yet to get into the endzone yet, it is hard to believe he is below $7000 for this matchup. There is no reason you cannot optimistically expect over 100 yds and a TD this week.
| D. Metcalf | DAL | $6,500 |
| T. Lockett | DAL | $6,400 |
Metcalf has had a great start to the year, hitting the 19 FPTS mark in each of the first two games with nearly identical stat lines. Dallas has not played well against intermediate route runners this year, allowing Woods and Ridley to both exceed 100 yards. DAL played pretty well against the vertical threat, though their best corner Awuzie will not miss time. It is very tricky picking between Metcalf and Lockett, like the last few weeks with Kupp/Woods and Jones/Ridley, but it makes it all the more confusing considering they are essentially the same price. Metcalf will rely on getting a deep ball or two his way, while Lockett eats over the middle. I believe DAL will look to take away the deep ball from Wilson this week, allowing for more opportunities to the latter. Both may have good games, I just would think of going with a safer option.
| O. Beckham Jr. | WAS | $6,300 |
It is obvious that CLE’s success is predicated on establishing the run, limiting Baker from doing too much. WAS has played very well against RBs so far, only allowing 63 RuYds per game, and not allowing an RB to exceed 12 DK pts. They have overall had success against the pass as well, so CLE will have to find a way to make big plays in order to win this game. Since 2015, OBJ has had considerable success against both Ron Rivera and against the Washington franchise. He has averaged 21.8 FPTS per game in five games against WAS, and 24.85 FPTS per game in two games when Rivera was coach at Carolina. Although the majority of this sample size was during his time in New York, CLE needs to continue to find ways to get OBJ involved. The opportunity is there to have a very good game, but it comes down to whether or not you trust the Browns to make it happen.
| Tyler Boyd | PHI | $5,900 |
Boyd was a very good go-to threat down the stretch against CLE, finishing with a respectable 7-72-1 stat line. CIN’s confidence to allow 97 pass attempts by Burrow through two weeks shows there will be tons of volume to go around in plus matchups. He could be a low owned steal for your lineup at this price.
| M. Jones | ARI | $5,800 |
Could be a beneficiary from the return of Golladay. ARI’s defense is 2nd in points allowed and 8th in pass yds allowed, but this could be skewed largely due to facing WAS and SF’s below average passing attacks. Lions will need to put points up to have a shot in this game, so I expect them to get Golladay involved this week. If anything, it could be an interesting pivot to Jones Jr. this week.
| J. Brown | LAR | $5,700 |
The Bills have made an emphasis getting the ball to Stefon Diggs over the first two gamed (22 targets in two games). Brown has benefited as a number two option though, catching 10 of his 13 targets, and scoring at least 18 DK pts in each game. I expect LAR to key on Diggs, which could open the doors for another solid game. Do not love his ceiling, but I think his floor is good enough to consider.
| D. Johnson | HOU | $5,400 |
His price has not adjusted for the amount of targets he has received through two weeks (23), which lead the team. He is battling a nagging toe injury, but this was a concern before his 8-92-1 performance last week. If this game stays close, I still expect the threat of 8+ targets.
| C. Lamb | SEA | $5,400 |
It only took two games to get the first round pick to have his first 100 yard game, including the catch that set up the game-winning field goal. The league’s worst statistical pass defense so far (485 pass yds allowed per game) will have a tough time holding Dallas’ offense below 300. Multiple receivers will have quality day.
| D. Jackson | CIN | $5,200 |
Reagor is out indefinitely, making Jackson the top receiver for the foreseeable future. He is deep-ball dependent, but his amount of targets have been promising (8 targets per game). While CIN’s secondary has improved, it is still in the bottom tier. They rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per completion allowed.
| A. Miller | ATL | $4,900 |
In a great matchup, but his lack of production last week in a plus matchup (0 catches on three targets) is highly concerning. Outside of the final 18 minutes of the DET game, he has not recorded a catch. A huge gamble, but has the capability if he can get more involved.
| C. Samuel | LAC | $4,000 |
No Christian McCaffrey opens up a lot of opportunities for other players. There is no certainty with how CAR will distribute those touches, but I don’t expect Mike Davis to carry the same load McCaffrey could. Samuel has been CAR’s gadget player, which could benefit him this week considering they are up against a top-tier secondary. If you are looking for a cheap option, so you can spend up, this could be an interesting way to go.
| A. Humphries | MIN | $3,900 |
Tied for team-high 13 targets through two games. With AJ Brown ruled out, there is plenty of room to contribute against a leaky Vikings secondary. Likely your safest bet for a player below $4k.
*Advice: There are so many quality plays in the $5k-$6k range. Pick who you trust the most. Highly advised to pick at least one WR in the SEA/DAL game.*
TE
| D. Waller | NE | $5,700 |
NE has only allowed 7.9 FPTS total to TEs this season. With Ruggs out and Jacobs banged up, he will likely be the number one option. His price is great for the ceiling he is capable of, but unsure if he is worth paying up for.
| T. Hockenson | ARI | $5,300 |
ARI’s defense is much improved, but they were still ranked 32nd defending TEs last season. Kittle was cooking in Week 1 before an injury limited his production in the 2nd half. WAS’ TEs are nothing to brag about. Last year in Hockenson’s NFL debut, he surpassed 100 yards against ARI. He is one of the few TEs above $5k with a good matchup. Worth a consideration, even with a returning Golladay.
| J. Smith | MIN | $5,200 |
Coming off a 2 TD game, next up is agains a MIN team that allowed 100 yards to Alie-Cox last week. WIth AJ Brown out, he will be in the running to be the target leader this week.
| Z. Ertz | CHI | $5,100 |
He is going to get going eventually, right? The biggest concern is that he has been out-targeted by Goedert in each of the last two games. It is possible for both to be productive in the same game. Philly is in a must-win against CIN and this is the defense to right that ship. Goedert is $200 cheaper if you still don’t trust Ertz in this spot.
| E. Engram | SF | $5,000 |
With Saquon and Shepard out, Engram and Slayton are both in line for a significant upgrade in looks. Engram had a quiety solid outing last week against CHI (6-65). SF has only allowed three catches to TEs this season, but that is also against two teams that do not necessarily implement the position into their offenses.
| H. Hurst | CHI | $4,700 |
I anticipate ATL will target the short and intermediate game against CHI. If Julio is out, CHI will key on Ridley, which will open up more looks for Hurst.
| J. Reed | NYG | $4,000 |
Best TE option below $5k. Mullins is starting for Jimmy G. In eight games as a starter in 2018, 56% of Mullins’ completions were to TEs and RBs. Reed is still a very good TE and with Kittle out, his price is way too low after his two TD game last week.
*Advice: Pick a TE that allows you to fit players in at other positions. Would be very surprised if you had multiple TEs hit the 20 point mark like last week.*
D/ST
*Advice: Don’t aim to spend up on a D/ST. The only ones above $3k worth consideration are TB and NE. Spend down to afford other players.*
This Just In 