RBs
| A. Kamara | DET (30th) | $8,000 |
Think about this. If you account for zero of Kamara’s rushing stats, he would be the WR4. His insane volume of targets to this point allows him to take on a workhorse workload (19.3 touches per game), but not take a lot of hits due to the majority of his looks being in the open field. DET just two weeks ago allowed a current league-high 48.6 FPTS to Aaron Jones. Even if Thomas returns, I don’t expect that to hamper Kamara’s workload much. Jared Cook and Michael Thomas have been ruled out, further guaranteeing a strong workload.
| E. Elliott | CLE (5th) | $7,800 |
Zeke is proving his workhorse ways yet again, currently ranking 3rd in the NFL in touches (73) and has also been targeted 23 times through three games. The problem is he has not been efficient, (Ranks 29th in yards per carry min. 30 att. – 3.78 ; 5.9 yards per catch). This is largely due to the unavailability to both offensive tackles Tyron Smith and La’el Collins. The former’s status is uncertain this week, while the latter is now out for the season. I don’t believe he is a threat to exceed the 100 yard mark until those two are able to return. There are much better options at this price.
| Dalvin Cook | HOU (32nd) | $7,600 |
HOU ranks last through week 3 against the run (188.3 RuYds per game allowed), including allowing 22.3 FPPG to starting RBs. Cook is coming off career day, finishing with 199 all-purpose yards (30.9 FPTS). His strong start to the year includes a 6.1 YPC average, which leads the league (min 30 Ru att.). This is the exact type of matchup for an encore performance, though the COVID-19 situation with TEN will force this game to be monitored in terms of practice time and preparation.
| A. Ekeler | TB (3rd) | $7,100 |
TB has allowed the 4th-most receptions to RBs (23) this season. Ekeler has been extremely efficient as a receiver so far, catching all 16 of his targets, which is tied for 2nd among RBs. He has also combined for 20 touches in each of the first three games and has been the second most targeted player on LAC since Herbert took over. Even with an elite TB defense, I still believe he can have a quality day. Could be overlooked from an ownership perspective, as well.
| N. Chubb | DAL (23rd) | $7,000 |
Playing Chubb will be much to do with your confidence in the game script. Chubb is 4th in the league in rushing, but has only averaged 17 carries per game. Yes, he has scored 56.3 points on 43 touches over the last two games, but each game he has earned the 100 yard bonus and scored multiple TDs in each game. Even with this early success, Hunt has still gotten his fair share (16.3 touches per game). Going up against a defense that has a banged up secondary, along with the most passing touchdowns allowed (9), look for CLE to be more dynamic offensively down the field. Should Hunt miss this week, Chubb would become a much more intriguing play, especially as a pass catcher.
| J. Jacobs | BUF (8th) | $6,800 |
Jacobs was held to just 10.3 FPTS on Sunday, but it was encouraging to see 19 touches, despite not touching the ball the final 10 minutes of the game due to playing catch up. The Bills may rank 7th against the rush so far, but that is largely due to their opponents having the 4th fewest rush attempts against them. In terms of fantasy, they have allowed 14.2 and 22 FPTS to starting running backs in the last two weeks. In addition to the fact that the Bills have struggled to put games away this season playing from ahead, Jacobs should have no problem getting 20-25 touches with a few opportunities in the passing game as well due to Ruggs and Edwards being sidelined.
| J. Taylor | CHI (17th) | $6,600 |
IND has not put together a consistent gameplan together over the past few weeks (Taylor: 28 touches in Week 2; 14 in Week 3), though this could largely be due to outscoring their opponents 64-18 in that span. Despite the low touch count last week, IND still emphasized running their offense through their RBs with 35 touches. CHI has struggled against RBs, tying for 7th for most yards per carry (5.0). Last week, CHI allowed 30.2 FPTS to ATL RBs, including 138 rushing yards and two touchdowns. If this game remains close, which I anticipate, Taylor could be a strong option for touches. Proceed with caution.
| J. Robinson | CIN (31st) | $6,500 |
Robinson continued an impressive start to his career last Thursday with 129 all-purpose yards and a pair of scores. Through three games, he has been the 7th highest scoring RB on DK. This week he faces a CIN team ranked 31st against the run, along with most rush attempts allowed by opponents. The encouraging sign for Robinson was his involvement in the passing game once his team fell behind multiple scores last week. He should continue to be productive, even with the possible return of DT Geno Atkins this week.
| K. Hunt | DAL (23rd) | $6,200 |
Hunt has been one of the more dynamic running backs in the NFL this season, currently sitting at RB16 in FPPG, despite not starting. He has been the more favored pass catch out of the backfield and leads the team in receiving TDs at the moment. He has not practiced this week, though, nursing a groin injury with his status uncertain for this week. Even with his early success this year, I believe his price is too high to go with, considering other starting backs with more favorable matchups.
| K. Drake | CAR (21st) | $6,000 |
Drake has gotten off to a slow start as the lead back, with just 11.63 FPPG (30th), despite having the 7th most touches (59) through three weeks. He enters a very favorable matchup against a team that has allowed the most rushing touchdowns (7) and has given an average of whopping 32.6 FPPG to starting RBs this season. He will have opportunities to produce, the only concern is if Murray’s success as a rusher in the red zone will take away from Drake’s ability to score.
| D. Singletary | LV (28th) | $5,900 |
Singletary has yet to score this year, but he had a relatively solid 16.1 FPTS against LAR last week without Zack Moss in the lineup. Without the rookie in the lineup, Singletary was on the field for 90% of BUF’s snaps Week 3. LV has allowed the most FPPG to RBs through this week, including surrendering an average 50.9 FPTS to the position in the last two weeks. Even if Moss returns this week, both should have an opportunity to return value for your lineups. LV’s secondary has only allowed three passing TDs this year, so BUF could look to exploit the ground game to reach the end zone.
| J. Mixon | JAX (15th) | $5,800 |
Mixon has gotten off to a slow start this year, largely due to their 29th ranked offensive line, according to PFF, going up against three of the top 11 run defenses through three weeks. Though JAC is one of the youngest NFL defenses, they have actually been singey against the run, only allowing 3.8 YPC (T-7th), and recently stifled Derrick Henry to just 8.4 FPTS on 25 touches in Week 2. Mixon will continue to struggle, unless he becomes much more of an asset in the passing game. I would fade for a few more weeks.
| D. Henderson | NYG (20th) | $5,800 |
Henderson has emerged over the last two weeks as the lead back in this committee, gaining 120 and 121 all-purpose yards in consecutive weeks on 35 touches (Akers and Brown have combined for 21). If Akers remains out, that bodes well for Henderson to continue his hot streak against a defense that just allow the 7th-most FPPG to RBs during the last two week, including three TDs last week (though NYG has only allowed 3.16 YPC during that stretch). If you see LAR running away in this one, this could be the way to go.
| M. Ingram II | WAS (22nd) | $5,700 |
Ingram has only had 28 touches through three games (RB40 in Targets/RuAtt – 10). I expect BAL to come out and run away in this game after getting handled on MNF. If that happens, Ingram will not get the touches necessary to warrant this price.
| M. Davis | ARI (12th) | $5,700 |
Davis has been an excellent pass catcher out of the backfield replacing McCaffrey, where he currently is tied for 2nd among his positions in receptions (16), despite having no statistics Week 1. Outside of a 76 yard touchdown reception by Mostert on the opening drive of the season, ARI has done a good job against RBs, not allowing one to exceed 12.5 FPTS, if it were not for the SF play. Davis was on the field for 76% of the snaps last week and touched the ball 53.8% of the snaps he was in. With next to no competition at his position, there is a great chance he will continue to get those touches, and if he can continue to bring in the high volume of targets, he is a steal at this price.
| D. Johnson | MIN (26th) | $5,600 |
Johnson struggled to get anything going the past two weeks against PIT and BAL, averaging 2.38 YPC on 24 carries. Playing from behind and against defenses that rank 2nd and 3rd respectively among DK points allowed to RBs are the biggest reasons for his recent struggles. The tides will turn this weekend, as MIN has allowed the 5th-most FPPG to RBs (30.6), including back to back 100 yard games allowed to Taylor and Henry. Duke Johnson returning this week lowers Johnson’s ceiling, but there is a big possiblity he can reach the end zone a time or two this week in what could be a high scoring game.
| D. Montgomery | IND (4th) | $5,500 |
Montgomery enters Week 4 facing the number one overall defense in the league in terms of points allowed per game (15) and total yards (225.3). Cohen is now out for the year (ACL), and now with Foles at QB, the offense could become more dynamic, which could ultimately lead to more touches for the RB as the year goes on. It will be tough to trust him this week in this matchup, so I would fade him for other favorable matchups in the $5k’s.
| C. Hyde | MIA (25th) | $5,300 |
It is looking as though Carson is trending towards playing this weekend. I would expect him to be limited, so that would open up roughly 8-12 touches for Hyde. Without a certainty of snaps, and an inability to contribute in the passing game, I think he is too TD dependant at this price.
| J. Kelley | TB (3rd) | $5,100 |
Kelley contributed with a solid 52 yards on 10 touches in a favorable matchup last week. While the 5.2 yards per touch was impressive, he did happen to fumble which tallied up to an uninspiring 6.2 FPTS. TB has been so-so against RBs this year, though most of that damage has been done as a pass catcher, Ekeler’s forte. This is not the week to invest in Kelley.
| M. Gaskin | SEA (2nd) | $5,000 |
Gaskin has become the lead back in a crowded MIA backfield, averaging 17.67 touches per game, five of which were receptions, which currently ranks tied for 4th in the league. SEA has been very good against the run, ranking 3rd in the league in YPC (3.0), most recently holding Zeke to just 34 yards rushing last week. I expect MIA to keep this game very close this weekend, which will allow for opportunities for Gaskin to get into the end zone. Even if he can’t, I can see him hitting close to his 13.1 FPPG, despite not finding the end zone so far.
| J.K. Dobbins | WAS | $4,800 |
BAL has not come close to their team average of rush attempts last year, averaging nearly eight fewer attempts this season (29.33). Dobbins has only eight touches over the past two games. I expect BAL to run away in this one, so it should provide for an uptick in touches. While he may have a larger role later in the year, I think it is too early to trust any of the BAL RBs for the time being.
| D. Freeman | LAR | $4,800 |
On a short week, only was able to garner 10 yards on five carries. Hard to see this game staying a close enough where Freeman is able to have a fantasy impact.
| R. Burkhead | KC | $4,800 |
Those out of nowhere games seem to happen more to NE than any other franchise. Even after Burkead’s three TD performance, it is hard to see a similar workload this week, especially considering James White is set to make his emotional return to the team following his two game absence. Have to also deal with Damien Harris returning from injury.
| R. Jones | LAC | $4,700 |
His fantasy relevance is predicated on Fournette’s health. If he is unable to go, Jones should see a significant uptick in touches, with some sleeper-caliber production considering LAC’s banged up defense.
| N. Hines | CHI | $4,700 |
Hines continued his complementary role last week against NYJ, but one must wonder how consistent his touches will be when games remain competitive. His 61 yards on 11 touches (10.1 FPTS) followed a week where he only saw one touch. I need a bigger sample size to see how defined his role will be moving forward.
| A. Peterson | NO | $4,700 |
Peterson was on the field for 39 snaps, resulting in 23 touches last week, compared to Johnson and Swift, who combined for 25 snaps and five touches. It is puzzling why the 35 year-old has been the most productive back, but for the time being he remains the top guy. NO currently ranks in the top 10 among YPC allowed, RuYards allowed, and FPTS allowed to RBs. They recently held workhorse backs Aaron Jones (16.6 FPTS) and Josh Jacobs (13.5) in check, and instead struggled defending the passing game (6 Pass TDs, 282.5 Pass YPG) in recent weeks. If you are going to target a Lion this week, I think you are better off going with Marvin Jones at a similar price.
| M. Brown | NYG | $4,700 |
Brown has actually outsnapped Henderson 71-63 during the last two weeks, but Henderson has out-touched Brown 35-18 (Henderson: 35 touches, 241 yards, 2 TDs / Brown: 18 touches, 66 yards). Brown’s snap count could continue to dwindle if this continues. A good matchup could result in both producing, but I would fade in almost all formats.
| S. Michel | KC | $4,600 |
A pair of long runs allowed Michel to produce a solid fantasy outing last week. With James White and Damien Harris returning this week, in addition to Burkhead’s big day and Cam being a threat to eat into touches, I am not buying until I get further clarity on how this rotation will function will all five (really six with Cam) RBs available.
| A. Gibson | BAL | $4,500 |
WAS will need to keep this game competitive in order for Gibson to get a proper workload. I just don’t see that happening.
Advice: With Thomas out, I think Kamara is a strong building block for 30+ FPTS. He should be in a lot of your lineups.
WRs
| D. Hopkins | CAR (24TH) | $8,500 |
The NFL’s receiving yards leader has not taken long to get acclimated with his new team. Hopkins is currently ranked 2nd in targets, 2nd in FPPG and now enters a matchup where Mike Evans and Keenan Allen were able to combine for a productive 20-236-2 (60.6 FPTS between the two) in the last two weeks. Hopkins has not practiced this week (ankle), but if he is able to go, he should be a top five play this week.
| T. Lockett | MIA (25th) | $7,000 |
Lockett’s shot up $600 this week for good reason after his 9-100-3 performance last week. Russell Wilson is playing at a historic rate right now, and Lockett has been the top benefeciary, scoring the 3rd-most FPTS (25.63 FPPG) through three weeks. I consider this the classic cross-country trap game, expecting it to be much closer than others consider. Cornerback Xavien Howard has been a top 10 corner thus far, according to PFF, so MIA could have the secondary to force others to step up to win this game.
| S. Diggs | LV (16th) | $6,800 |
Diggs has had a strong start with his new team, posting the 4th most receiving yards (288) and 5th most FPPG (21.27) in the early season. He will be in for a rather tough matchup against LV, who has allowed the 9th fewest receiving yards per game and only 3 passing TDs this year. I am not as concerned about those numbers as I am about his red zone looks, or lack thereof, as he has only been targeted twice in that area this year. Spending this high, you need to have confidence in a receiver’s ability to score, and I am not confident enough that this will happen.
| D. Metcalf | MIA (25th) | $6,800 |
Metcalf has had a fairly consistent start to the year, catching four passes, including a deep ball touchdown in each game. His price has jumped $1000 since the beginning of the year, and while it is justified, it will set up to be a letdown for anyone expecting a dominant game. Byron Jones being doubtful helps his cause, but not enough to warrant an investment from me.
| C. Kupp | NYG (10th) | $6,700 |
Kupp was the main beneficiary in LAR’s comeback attempt last week in BUF, finishing with a 9-107-1 stat line. It is tough to gauge this matchup. Woods and Kupp have forever been consistent targets for Jared Goff, but it seems to be the guessing game on who will have the better game. Cornerback James Bradberry has had the 3rd highest PFF grade in coverage this year (84.1), while Isaac Yiadom has the 4th worst grade among qualified corners (29.9). Bradberry has had a whopping nine pass break ups thus far (five more than 2nd-most). With Kupp lining up in the slot 52% of the time (10th highest rate), and Bradberry only spending 8% of his snaps defending the slot, I anticipate Kupp being the one being able to take advantage of NYG’s limited depth at corner.
| A. Robinson | IND (1st) | $6,700 |
IND has allowed the fewest receptions (47), fewest receiving yards (454), and 3rd fewest FPTS (27.9) to WRs this season. Even with Foles at QB, it will be tough for CHI to stretch the field this weekend.
| A. Cooper | CLE (22nd) | $6,700 |
The NFL’s top passing offense makes it a strong possibility for Cooper to produce on a week-to-week basis. Cooper has had an impressive 18.23 FPPG (WR12), despite not finding the end zone. Against a banged up Denzel Ward and a defense that has allowed the 7th-most points to WRs, Amari should have his opportunities. Confidence in him finding the end zone would go a long ways in roster consideration.
| A. Thielen | HOU (3rd) | $6,600 |
Outside of a 4th quarter in the season opener where he caught 4 passes and two TDs, Thielen has been largely unproductive with eight receptions in the other 11 quarters. HOU has allowed the third fewest passing yards entering Week 4 and have only allowed one WR to exceed 50 yards this year (Sammy Watkins: 7-82-1). Let’s hold off on buying into Thielen until he faces SEA’s woeful secondary Week 5.
| K. Allen | TB (14th) | $6,500 |
Allen enters Week 4 tied as the NFL’s most-targeted receiver. Since Herbert took over, he has pulled in 20 of a whopping 29 targets, resulting as this season’s WR2 thus far. With Mike Williams ruled out, there is plenty of opportunity for Allen to continue his hot start to the year. With LAC down their three best offensive lineman this week, the only concern is if Herbert will be able to make plays against TB’s 4th ranked defense.
| A. Green | JAX (19th) | $6,500 |
Price is way too high for a number two receiver. If Burrow comes close to his 47 pass attempts per game (2nd in NFL), there will be volume to go around. I would opt to go will the more favored receiver $400 cheaper.
| M. Evans | LAC (9th) | $6,400 |
With Godwin and Fournette out this week, there will be plenty of opportunities for Evans to get involved. He only has 10 receptions on the year, but four have gone for touchdowns. LAC will be without Chris Harris, but that is not saying much, considering 70% of his snaps come from the slot. I don’t love Evans’ chances for a big game this week, but I can’t say I would be surprised after All Pro Casey Hayward’s early struggles (50.0 coverage grade according to PFF).
| R. Woods | NYG (10th) | $6,300 |
Woods has had a solid start to the year, exceeding 20 FPTS in two of his first three games. In the other game, he struggled to get involved, catching only two passes for 14 yards, though he salvaged his day with a rushing TD. With another tough corner matchup this week, it will be interesting to see how LAR spreads their touches around. This is one of the few times I would pay up for a receiver around the same price range.
| M. Brown | WAS (5th) | $6,300 |
Had it not been for a 47 yard reception in Week 1, Brown would be averaging less than 40 yards per game. This weekend, they are facing a defense that has allowed the 6th fewest FPTS to WRs this season. This game could get out of hand quick, which will limit his productivity. He will need to score early, and I just do not see that happening.
| M. Gallup | CLE (22nd) | $6,200 |
Gallup followed up an underwhelming first couple of games by nearly doubling his targets in his 6-138-1 output against SEA. He has played well, it is just trusting his involvement on a week-to-week basis. It is frustrating with the uncertainty, so it is best to go with options in this price range that has more clarity.
| T. Boyd | JAX (19th) | $6,100 |
Boyd is coming off back-to-back 20 FPT games and a team-leading 21 targets. The connection is strong and could continue to as CIN fights to win their first game against JAC.
| K. Golladay | NO (20th) | $6,000 |
Golladay’s season debut was a strong one, grabbing six of seven targets along with a score. NO has struggled recently, allowing consecutive QBs to exceed a 120 passer rating. Both Marcus Lattimore (hamstring) and Janoris Jenkins (shoulder) have been ruled out, giving Stafford a great chance to have a field day at home. Golladay could very well be the main benficiary.
| D. Chark | CIN (6th) | $6,000 |
Chark is banged up and returns this week. Even though he caught all his targets the first two games (7-109-1), it was very concerning that he was 4th on the team in targets in those games. CIN is top 4 in the league in FPTS allowed to WRs, so it is a hard fade for me.
| W. Fuller | MIN (30th) | $5,900 |
MIN has allowed the 4th-most FPTS to WRs. Fuller rebounded off a goose egg Week 2 with a 15.4 day against a tough defense. There should be some fireworks in this game and if that hamstring holds up, expect a field day against an inexperienced secondary without a starting corner.
| O. Beckham Jr. | DAL (28th) | $5,800 |
OBJ has surprisingly not had a ton of success in his career against DAL, posting only two 100 yard games in his career. Now in new colors, he will face a defense allowing the 2nd-most FPTS to the position and most passing touchdowns. The volume has not been there recently, but if CLE has to keep up with DAL’s high flying offense, OBJ is the prime candidate in the passing game to make things happen.
| D. Parker | SEA | $5,700 |
Facing the worst pass defense in the league, MIA should have its way on ten days rest facing a secondary that will be without Jamal Adams. Parker has yet to have a big game this year, but this is the best opportunity to do so.
| D. Moore | ARI | $5,600 |
Moore has been the 11th most targeted receiver, but has only been WR32 in FPPG. Hard to see him finding that groove going against a defense that has allowed the 3rd-fewest receptions.
| C. Lamb | CLE | $5,400 |
DAL is a big threat to hit over 30 points this week. Good mid-priced wideout if you believe Lamb can get into the endzone for the first time.
| J. Jefferson | HOU | $5,200 |
After a couple of lackluster games, Gary Kubiak got the rookie involved in a big way with a 7-175-1 game last week. HOU has played surprisingly well against the pass, but I think he can still have a solid day if he can manage to score.
| J. Brown | LV | $5,100 |
Brown looks set to play after battling an injury last week. He had two solid games in the weeks prior. LV has allowed the 5th-lowest FPTS to WRs thus far. I believe he has a chance to still have a solid game if this game turns into a shootout.
| J. Landry | DAL | $5,100 |
Landry could be an overlooked WR for cheap, considering most people considering a CLE WR would lean towards OBJ. If you do not have that fair in him, Landry could be an excellent bargain.
| D. Slayton | LAR | $5,000 |
LAR has allowed five WRs to exceed 12 FPTS this year. NYG doesn’t have many weapons to keep up with the Rams, but if there was anyone that would allow the Giants to keep pace, it is Slayton, who showed Week 1 (6-104-2) his ability to have a productive game even playing from behind.
| M. Jones Jr. | NO | $4,900 |
Excellent sleeper option if you believe Golladay will not have a big game. NO missing top two corners.
| E. Sanders** | DET | $4,800 |
With Thomas out another week, but now Cook as well, Sanders remains the most reliable WR (though Kamara will eat a ton of targets). Sanders found the end zone last week, but still ended up being out targeted by TreQuan Smith. Not a bad option for a sleeper, but there are better ones.
| R. Cobb | MIN | $4,800 |
Cobb has pulled in 11 of his 13 targets through three games. He has not gotten a ton of volume, but this is the type of matchup to open up the field.
| C. Beasley | LV | $4,700 |
Beasley is coming off a 100 yard game, but it looks as though John Brown will return. Tough to trust a similar performance.
| H. Renfrow | BUF | $4,600 |
One of my favorite sleepers this week. Both Edwards and Ruggs are out, which will lead to many more opportunities. Renfrow is coming off a 6-84-1 stat line on nine targets last week in a similar scenario. BUF allowed Gesicki to have a 8-130-1 line in Week 2. You may think this does not correlate, but Gesicki has the 3rd-highest percentage of slot snaps in the NFL.
| S. Miller | LAC | $4,100 |
Godwin and Fournette are out, and slot corner Chris Harris will not play as well. When Godwin missed in Week 2, he did not take advantage of the opportunity. He is currently dealing with an injury himself, though. If he plays, he could be an excellent punt play, but hard to trust.
Advice: There are several mid-tier WRs that will benefit your lineup. Find a trusting stack with a QB of your choice.
| L. Jackson | WAS | $8,100 |
I expect a very good bounce back game for Jackson after struggling on MNF. WAS had a bad first experience against a dual threat QB in Week 2, allowing 33.1 FPTS to Kyler Murray. With DL Chase Young and Matt Ioannidis out, Lamar could run wild. Game script will be the only concern.
| R. Wilson | MIA | $7,800 |
Wilson looks to be one of the safest plays for the time being. Without Byron Jones, SEA should be able to continue to throw down the field. I expect a potential upset possiblity, which will allow Wilson to duel with Fitzpatrick down to the wire. MIA has allowed the 4th-most FPTS to opposing QBs, so there will definitely be opportunities for plenty of points.
| J. Allen | LV | $7,300 |
This will be an interesting matchup. Allen has started the season red hot, scoring at least 33 FPTS in each game this season. LV meanwhile, has yet to allow a QB to hit 19 FPTS, and have allowed only three passing TDs this season. They are dead last against RBs, though, and considering Allen’s abilities as a runner, he will be worth consideration. I personally would fade him in this spot, and spend down for better value.
| D. Prescott | CLE | $7,200 |
The NFL’s passing yards leader will be a constant threat for 30 FPTS and this week is no different. Coming off back-to-back 400+ yard games, Prescott could see a slight dip in the yardage department due to not playing from behind. CLE gave up 56 FPTS to QBs before taking on a struggling Haskins last week.
| K. Murray | CAR | $7,000 |
Murray has started off the year at QB5, averaging 28.38 FPPG, despite not hitting the 300 pass yards bonus yet. CAR has allowed the 3rd-fewest FPTS to QBs. Even though Murray has been a strong fantasy QB out the gate, he has struggled as a passer, as his passer rating currently ranks 27th (79.7) and has five interceptions already on the year. If Hopkins is out, or even limited, that would be a huge derailing of confidence as this week’s QB. For this week, I would fade due to the uncertainty and tough matchup.
| J. Goff | NYG | $6,700 |
Goff is coming off a strong previous two weeks where he scored 24 and 31.2 FPTS respectively, resulting in a $1100 price increase. NYG statistcally played pretty well against QBs, allowed the 11th fewest FPTS to the position, but that could also be due to have the second-worst point differential in the NFL entering Week 4 (-41). NYG could be missing both starting safeties, so there will be opportunities to exploit them deep. Rostering him will depend on how close you believe the Giants will be able to keep it throughout the game.
| D. Watson | MIN | $6,600 |
No one is happier than Deshaun Watson to be moving on to their 4th game after having to face KC, BAL, and PIT to start the year. He currently sits at QB19 (18.53 FPPG), but that should go up going against a 103.5 passer rating (10th) and 3rd-most 20+ yard throws in the NFL. They have only allowed one passing TD since Week 1, but that is against two run-oriented teams (IND and TEN). Watson, who was been the 2nd-most sacked QB (13) should have a little more time to throw this week going up against a pass rush that has only had four sacks this season (3rd fewest). I would not consider him a must-play, but I think he has one of the best opportunities to hit 30 FPTS this week.
| J. Burrow | JAX | $6,300 |
Burrow will have a good opportunity to hit value this week going against a defense that has allowed the 5th-most FPTS to QBs. Although Fitzpatrick only threw for 160 yards last week, he completed 90% of his passes and scored three touchdowns (one rushing). On the year, JAC has allowed the highest passer rating (118.6) and completion percentage (80%) in the NFL. CIN has plenty of weapons to get Burrow to that 300 yard mark with a few moderately priced receivers to allow a fair stack.
| M. Stafford | NO | $5,900 |
Stafford is criminally underpriced, especially without cornerbacks Janoris Jenkins and Marshon Lattimore available. NO has struggled recently, allowing consecutive QBs to exceed a 120 passer rating. They currently have allowed the 7th-most FPTS to QBs and have not forced a QB turnover since Week 1. He seems like a safe be to hit the 22-25 point mark, and perhaps even more if it becomes a shootout.
| D. Brees** | DET | $5,800 |
Brees had a solid 23.52 FPT game last week, though nearly 58% of his points came from Kamara making plays out of the backfield. With Thomas and now Cook out, it will be tough to trust a big game from Brees, unless Kamara is able to make some magic happen in the passing game once again.
| K. Cousins | HOU | $5,600 |
Cousins has had a tough start to the year, leading the NFL in interceptions entering Week 4. Currently ranked QB28, he travels to take on the only defense in the NFL that has yet to create a turnover. There will be plenty of points scored in this game, the only concern is if Cousins will be able to convert drives instead of turning and handing off to his elite RB. Jefferson’s breakout game was a welcome sign last week, and they will need some playmakers to step up to avoid an 0-4 start.
| R. Fitzpatrick | SEA | $5,400 |
Your best bet for a sleeper QB comes in the form of Fitzmagic, who has by far the best matchup this weekend, yet somehow is the 27th ranked QB in terms of salary. SEA has allowed 430.67 pass YPG so far, and allowed the 2nd-most FPPG to QBs (33.3). Playing without Jamal Adams on the NFL’s longest road trip will not help improve those numbers, if Fitzpatrick can build off his strong TNF game last week, he could be making a lot of fantasy players money this weekend.
Advice: There are several great value plays on this slate, so find a QB under $7k. Watson, Burrow, Stafford, and Fitzpatrick are in fantastic spots to hit for you.
| M. Andrews | WAS | 6000 |
Andrews has disappointed back-to-back weeks, and finds himself in an interesting spot this weekend. WAS has allowed the 5th-most points to TEs this year, but considering how quickly this may get out of hand, it just seems to risky to invest $6k in this position for a boom or bust player.
| T. Higbee | NYG | 5700 |
To me, Higbee is still priced too high. Even though he managed to have a three TD game in Week 2, it was followed up with a two catch performance on just two targets, even though LAR trailed essentially the entire 2nd half (though he did catch a 2PT conversion). He has only received 3.67 targets per game (25th among TEs), so I think I would fade until he becomes a higher priority in the offense.
| D. Waller** | BUF | 5200 |
Waller had a disappointing encore after his 13 catch performance on MNF the week prior. LV will be without a couple of pass catchers in this game, and they will need to find somebody to produce. Waller has been the most targeted TE in the NFL heading into the weekend, and he has already shown he is capable of producing receiver-like numbers. $5200 seems very modest facing a defense that allowed a 8-130-1 game to fellow TE Mike Gesicki Week 2.
| M. Gesicki | SEA | 5100 |
Gesicki is in an interesting spot going up against the NFL’s worst passing defenses. While he is listed as a TE, he is really a glorified slot receiver, posting the 3rd-highest snap percentage from the slot this year. The biggest concern is the lack of getting on the field. He currently ranks 32nd among his position in average snaps played per game. He is one of their best red zone targets, so he adds scoring potential. I think this comes down to preference. I would go with Gesicki as a flex more so than rostering at TE.
| T. Hockenson | NO | 4800 |
Hockenson has a strong matchup this week against the team that has allowed the most FPTS to TEs (28.33 FPPG). One example is getting dismantled against Waller Week 2 (13-136-1). The other is allowing 9-104-2 (31.4 FPTS) combined to a committee of GB TEs that came into the matchup with three catches combined from the first two weeks. NO is in a very bad spot and are down three starters. Hockenson may be the play of the week if he can find the end zone.
| R. Gronkowski | LAC | 3600 |
I believe Gronk to be the strongest punt play at TE this week. After struggling to start the year, he had his most productive game as a Buccaneer last week (6-48 on seven targets). TB is down Fournette and Godwin this week, and are taking on a defense down several starters.
Advice: I skipped over a few TEs for a reason. There are not many great matchups on this week’s slate. The one’s above are your safest bet.
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